Started at five, and studied with Rita Shklar from 2014 through high school. If I get one piece, it is Ginastera's Danzas Argentinas. In 2020 I placed 3rd at the ENKOR International Competition and took 1st and 2nd places in the Great Composer Competition series, and I have played in master classes with Natasha Paremski and Daniel Epstein.
Dissent, Deliberation, and Regional Influence at FOMC Meetings
Formal FOMC votes almost never dissent, so the votes hide most of the disagreement in the room. We read the transcripts instead. A multi-model LLM pipeline (Claude and GPT-4o) scores every participant's economic assessment and policy preference at every meeting from 1990 to 2020, giving a stance measure for the seven non-voting Reserve Bank presidents as well as the voters.
Two findings. Regional economic conditions shape how presidents talk about policy, not just how they vote. And non-voters matter: their discussion is associated with voters revising their views within the meeting, with recorded dissents, and with the position the Chair carries into the next meeting's proposal.
Before running any regression I treated the measurement as its own problem. Early scoring versions were not accurate enough to trust, so the pipeline was rebuilt and validated against two independent benchmarks before touching the panel.
- Data
- Roughly 30 years of FOMC transcripts, 1990 to 2020, every participant and every meeting
- Validation
- 100% directional agreement with the Thornton-Wheelock dissent record; 100% agreement with Meade (2005) hand-coded stances
- Econometrics
- Panel regressions with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors, implemented in Python and checked against Stata (see xtscc)
- Stack
- Python, R, Stata, Claude and OpenAI APIs


